The U.S. economy: are analysts missing the point?

Vol. 18 No. 1 (1998)

Jan-Mar / 1998
Published January 1, 1998
PDF-English
PDF-English

How to Cite

Nunes, João Marcus M. 1998. “The U.S. Economy: Are Analysts Missing the Point?”. Brazilian Journal of Political Economy 18 (1):43-56. https://doi.org/10.1590/0101-31571998-1276.

The U.S. economy: are analysts missing the point?

João Marcus M. Nunes
Economista-senior da Divisão de Mercados Emergentes da Cargill, Inc., São Paulo/SP, Brasil.
Brazilian Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 18 No. 1 (1998), Jan-Mar / 1998, Pages 43-56

Abstract

The conventional view on the U.S. economy is that economic growth above
“potential” is bad for bonds since it spells inflation. The purpose of this note is to show that
following the Volker deflation (l980-82), the policy regime changed, and greater economic
stability obtained.

JEL Classification: E43; E44; G10.


Keywords: Interest rates bond Market Fed