The twin deficit theory in a dynamic consistent stock-flow model for an open economy
Abstract
This paper aims to incorporate explicitly the twin deficits theory in a stock-flow
consistent model to analyze the impact of fiscal policy and public debt dynamics in a post-
Keynesian model, investigating the effects and limitations. Even rejecting many neoclassical
hypotheses, fiscal policy has limitation to stimulate permanently economic growth because
if it’s incompatible with balance of payment equilibrium, net external debt would rise and
become unsustainable. Finally, this hypothesis is tested empirically and it is verified that the
dynamics of the fiscal policy and external position are associated when specified according
to Godley and Cripps (1983) and modified by Pérez Caldentey (2007).
JEL Classification: E12; E62; F41; F43.
Keywords: Stock-flow consistent fiscal policy external constraint twin deficits post- Keynesianism