Harrod-Domar Dilemma, Thirlwall’s Law and Green New Developmentalism

Vol. 44 No. 4 (2024)

Oct-Dez / 2024
Published October 8, 2024
PDF-English
PDF-English

How to Cite

Grazini, Chiara, Giulio Guarini, and José Luis Oreiro. 2024. “Harrod-Domar Dilemma, Thirlwall’s Law and Green New Developmentalism”. Brazilian Journal of Political Economy 44 (4):679-97. https://doi.org/10.1590/0101-31572024-3616.

Harrod-Domar Dilemma, Thirlwall’s Law and Green New Developmentalism

Chiara Grazini
University of Tuscia, Viterbo (Italy) & Structuralist Development Macroeconomics Research Group at University of Brasília, Brasília/DF, Brazil.
Giulio Guarini
University of Tuscia, Viterbo (Italy) & Structuralist Development Macroeconomics Research Group at University of Brasília, Brasília/DF, Brazil.
José Luis Oreiro
University of Brasília, Brasília (Brazil) & Coordinator of the Structuralist Development Macroeconomics Research Group at University of Brasília, Brasília/DF, Brazil.
Brazilian Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 44 No. 4 (2024), Oct-Dez / 2024, Pages 679-697

Abstract

The article aims to address the ecological transition into a model that integrates
the Harrod-Domar Dilemma and the New Developmentalism according to a Green New Developmentalism
perspective. To this end, this paper focuses on the green sides of the middleincome
countries’ traps by introducing a novel concept of the ecologically sustainable output
growth rate into the new developmentalism model developed by Oreiro (2023) to identify a
balanced ecological growth path. Compensating for the price competitiveness losses produced by the exchange rate over-valuation, Ecological Structural Change and green finance
allow for reversing the process of premature de-industrialization by improving the competitiveness
of the manufacturing sector.

JEL Classification: E12; Q56; Q57; O11; O44.


Keywords: Green New Developmentalism ecological structural change Harrod-Domar dilemma Thirlwall’s law