A critique to the usual economic indicators of de-industrialization in Brazil

Vol. 35 No. 4 (2015)

Oct-Dec / 2015
Published October 1, 2015
PDF-Portuguese (Português (Brasil))
PDF-Portuguese (Português (Brasil))

How to Cite

Lobato Torres, Ricardo, and Henrique Cavalieri. 2015. “A Critique to the Usual Economic Indicators of De-Industrialization in Brazil”. Brazilian Journal of Political Economy 35 (4):859-77. https://doi.org/10.1590/0101-31572015v35n04a10.

A critique to the usual economic indicators of de-industrialization in Brazil

Ricardo Lobato Torres
Professor Adjunto do Departamento Acadêmico de Gestão e Economia da Universidade Tecnológica Federal do Paraná,
Henrique Cavalieri
Doutorando em Economia da Indústria e da Tecnologia pelo Instituto de Economia da Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro.
Brazilian Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 35 No. 4 (2015), Oct-Dec / 2015, Pages 859-877

Abstract

A critique to the usual economic indicators of de-industrialization in Brazil. The debate on de-industrialization has gained special prominence in Brazil, but methodological issues concerning the economic indicators used to evaluate this process are rarely discussed. This paper presents a critical evaluation of two common indicators in the Brazilian economic literature: the share of industry in GDP and the ratio VTI/VBPI. While the first measure shows sharp fluctuations due to changes in methodology, the second appears to be very sensitive to exchange rate variations and does not capture the inter-industry differences. Thus, the results show that both indicators contain problems and may lead to misleading conclusions about the national productive structure.

JEL Classification: L16; E01.


Keywords: de-industrialization Dutch disease specialization