A post-keynesian macro-dynamic model of simulation

Vol. 27 No. 1 (2007)

Jan-Mar / 2007
Published March 17, 2020
PDF-Portuguese (Português (Brasil))
PDF-Portuguese (Português (Brasil))

How to Cite

Oreiro, José Luis, and Fábio Hideki Ono. 2007. “A Post-Keynesian Macro-Dynamic Model of Simulation”. Brazilian Journal of Political Economy 27 (1):82-107. https://centrodeeconomiapolitica.org.br/repojs/index.php/journal/article/view/555.

A post-keynesian macro-dynamic model of simulation

José Luis Oreiro
Doutor em Economia (IE/UFRJ), Professor do Departamento de Economia da UFPR e Pesquisador do CNPq.
Fábio Hideki Ono
Mestre em Desenvolvimento Econômico (UFPR).
Brazilian Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 27 No. 1 (2007), Jan-Mar / 2007, Pages 82-107


The objective of this article is to present the structure and the simulation results of a one-sector macro-dynamic model that embeds some elements of the post-keynesian theory. The computational simulation of the model replicates some important features of capitalist dynamics as the phenomenon of cyclical growth, the long-run stability of the profit rate and functional distribution of income, the maintenance of idle-capacity in the long-run and the occurrence of a single episode of deep fall in real economic activity, which is in accordance with the rarity character of great crashes in the history of capitalism. Moreover, the simulation results show that a great reduction in inflation rate will be followed by an increase of financial fragility, increasing the like-hood of a great depression. As a policy advice derived from the simulation results, we can state that the Central Bank should never promote big reductions in inflation rate.

JEL Classification: E5, E12.

Keywords: post-keynesian economics computational economics monetary Policy