Discussing the role of the Bolsa Familia Program in the decision of the Brazilian presidential elections of 2006

Vol. 29 No. 1 (2009)

Jan-Mar / 2009
Published January 1, 2009
PDF-Portuguese (Português (Brasil))
PDF-Portuguese (Português (Brasil))

How to Cite

Marques, Rosa Maria, Marcel Guedes Leite, Áquilas Mendes, and Mariana Ribeiro Jansen Ferreira. 2009. “Discussing the Role of the Bolsa Familia Program in the Decision of the Brazilian Presidential Elections of 2006”. Brazilian Journal of Political Economy 29 (1):114-32. https://centrodeeconomiapolitica.org.br/repojs/index.php/journal/article/view/473.

Discussing the role of the Bolsa Familia Program in the decision of the Brazilian presidential elections of 2006

Rosa Maria Marques
Professora titular da PUCSP, líder do Grupo de Pesquisa Políticas para o Desenvolvimento Humano
Marcel Guedes Leite
Professor doutor da PUCSP e do Mackenzie
Áquilas Mendes
Professor de Economia da PUCSP e da FAAP/SP
Mariana Ribeiro Jansen Ferreira
Professora de Economia da PUCSP
Brazilian Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 29 No. 1 (2009), Jan-Mar / 2009, Pages 114-132

Abstract

This paper investigates the relationship between the impact of Bolsa Família Program in the Brazilian population and the result of the presidential elections of 2006. The database involves municipal information provided by MDS, IBGE and TSE. To control the experiment, the eventual influences of other variables in the determination of this relationship had been studied. All those variables come from specific characteristics of the cities, such as: city with predominant urban or not urban population; size of the city population; among others. The results state that the Bolsa Família was, in fact, a very important factor in the determination of the votes in Lula. It was, in itself, responsible for 45% of the total votes in Lula.

JEL Classification: I38; H53.


Keywords: Bolsa Família presidential elections of 2006 determinations of votes