Inertial inflation and Phillips curve
Abstract
This note introduces the problem of indexation of wages, exchange rate, and
other prices in the Phillips’ curve. With this aim, we developed a simplified model of the
inflationary process decomposing it in (1) inertial inflation; (2) the Phillips’ curve; (3) administered
or supply shock inflation. Using this model, first we show that a supply shock shifts
the Phillips’ curve accelerating the trend rate of inertial inflation. Second, that a continuous
demand pressure through Phillips’ curve leads to continuous acceleration of the rate of inflation.
And third, that a rise in the rate of unemployment may lead to an oligopolistic increase
in the profit margin, which also leads a shift in the Phillips’ curve and an acceleration of
inflation.
JEL Classification: E31; E24.
Keywords: Inflation Phillips curve